Athletic strong at home and confident after recent win
Athletic Bilbao welcome Real Madrid to the always-intimidating San Mamés with renewed belief following their 2–0 victory over Levante. Ernesto Valverde’s side remain inconsistent overall, yet their home record tells a different story: 13 points collected from seven league matches underline how difficult they are to break down in Bilbao. With key players such as Laporte returning and Ruiz de Galarreta back from suspension, Athletic should feel equipped to challenge a Madrid side struggling for rhythm. Even with Inaki Williams doubtful, the hosts possess enough pace and energy through Nico Williams and Berenguer to threaten in transition.
Madrid under pressure to respond in La Liga
Real Madrid arrive in the Basque Country winless in their last three league matches, a surprising dip for a team expected to dominate the title race. Draws against Girona, Rayo Vallecano and Elche have seen them lose top spot to Barcelona, and Xabi Alonso will be demanding an immediate response. Despite their recent form, Los Blancos still boast La Liga’s best away record and remain an offensive powerhouse. With Mbappé in irrepressible scoring form and Vinícius Jr. alongside him, Madrid can trouble any defence. The likely return of Camavinga and a strengthened back line featuring Militão and Rüdiger adds further balance, though Real have still looked vulnerable in spells.
Goals expected in a high-intensity clash
Historically, matches between these sides at San Mamés are fiercely competitive, and both teams have recent reasons to attack with ambition. Athletic’s home momentum and Madrid’s need to end their winless run should create an open match rich in chances. Real’s front three will almost certainly carve out opportunities, but their recent defensive lapses—and Athletic’s strong showings at home—suggest the Basques will find moments of their own.
Considering form, motivation and attacking quality on both sides, BTTS stands out as the clearest prediction. This should be a lively encounter where neither defence emerges unscathed.
